Timeline of Savannah Harbor Expansion Project
Hydrodynamic & Salinity and Dissolved Oxygen Modeling 


This page is intended to organize and present links to the modeling events that have occurred for the project in chronological order. As much as possible, the records that were created at the time represent the events. This requires effort to open each document, but provides the most objective presentation of what transpired.


General Information
(Click on the link to go to this section, which contains background information on the modeling.)

Feasibility study modeling
(Click on the link to go to this section, which runs from March 1997 through the submission of the Final Feasibility Study Report and Tier I EIS in September 1998.)

Post feasibility study modeling

(Click on the link to go to this section, which runs from the submission of the final Feasibility Study Report and Tier I EIS in September 1998 and the initiation of the USACE General Reevaluation Study and Tier II EIS preparation that commenced with the execution of a Memorandum of Understanding between the USACE and the GPA in July 2001.)

The links below will take you to the specific month.

Jan 1999

Jan 2000

Jan 2001

Feb 1999

Mar 2000

Mar 2001

Mar 1999

Jun 2000

Apr 2001

Apr 1999

Aug 2000

May 2001

May 1999

Oct 2000

Jun 2001

Jul 1999

Nov 2000


Aug 1999



Oct 1999


Nov 1999


General Reevaluation Study modeling
(This period covers the time from the execution of the Memorandum of Understanding between the USACE and the GPA in July 2001 to the present.)

The links below will take you to the specific month.

Sep 2001

Nov 2001

Mar 2003

May 2005

Oct 2001

Mar 2002

May 2003


Nov 2001

Apr 2002

Jul 2003



May 2002

Aug 2003



Jun 2002

Sep 2003



Jul 2002

jan 2004



Aug 2002

Mar 2004



Sep 2002

Apr 2004



Nov 2002

May 2004



Dec 2002

Aug 2004


General Information

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As the Georgia Ports Authority (GPA) started the Feasibility Study for the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project, it was decided that the dynamic response of the Lower Savannah River estuary to deepening projects could not be predicted based solely on historic observations of this complex system. Prediction would require a reliable physical or numerical model for use as a simulation tool for the changes that could occur as a result of increasing the authorized depth of the navigation channel.

The primary concerns of the study team were focused on the intrusion of saline water into the estuary as the tidal conditions changed, particularly how far saline water would penetrate the estuary and the duration of such penetrations. It was clear that previous modifications to the estuary, including a channel depth increase to 42' MLW in 1992, the installation of and subsequent removal of the Tidegate from service, and channel widening had affected the environment with the Savannah National Wildlife Refuge (SNWR) being particularly sensitive to salinity.

A three dimensional numerical modeling system, WQMAP from Applied Science Associates, Inc., was chosen to meet the study needs. According to ASA's website (http://www.wqmap.com):

"WQMAP is an integrated modeling system designed to study surface water quality issues. The system allows the engineer or scientist to develop numerical grids, perform hydrodynamic simulations, conduct single constituent pollutant transport and multiple constituent eutrophication studies in a geographic context all from one application."

The WQMAP modeling system features include:

1.      Incorporates USEPA WASP kinetic rate equations

2.      Includes Ammonia, Nitrates, Phosphates, Biological Oxygen Demand (BOD), Dissolved Oxygen (DO), Organic Nitrogen, Organic Phosphorous and Phytoplankton in its species


Feasibility Study Modeling

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This period runs from March 1997 through the submission of the Final Feasibility Study Report and Tier I EIS in September 1998.

Model Calibration and Validation

The Hydrodynamic and Salinity (H&S) model was calibrated by:

The Dissolved Oxygen (DO) model was calibrated by:

Validation was performed with an independent set of data to determine how well the model could predict the distribution of the model variables. A series of tests were used to provide measures for the success of the calibration and validation steps. The first test was to perform a sensitivity analysis to determine which parameters and coefficients were most important in the Savannah Harbor simulations. Values were changed by +10 percent or +50 percent, individually, to determine their effect on model results.

The second type of testing used actual measures of fit between field data and model results. These tests had been used successfully for some years and included the following:

Monitoring and Data Collection

Data sets that had been collected by the USGS and the USACE, Savannah District were reviewed and judged to not adequately quantify these characteristics, which were deemed critical to the modeling effort:

A monitoring program to collect and provide sufficient data for model calibration and validation was developed and presented to representatives of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), GA. Department of Environmental Protection (GAEPD), GA Department of Natural Resources (GADNR), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (Region IV) (EPA) and local industry representatives.

The monitoring and data collection lasted approximately two months during late summer (July - September) of 1997. Bathymetry survey data was provided by Savannah District, USACE personnel. This was used, along with annual navigation channel survey data and aerial photography to define the geometry for modeling. Water quality data was collected at the upstream (I-95 bridge for water quality and Clyo for hydrodynamic) and downstream (offshore extent of the navigation channel) boundaries. Water surface elevation measurements were made using 3 gages installed by the U.S. Geologic Service (USGS) and 8 additional gages placed along the Front River, South Channel and Middle River. Additional gages were placed in the freshwater marshes in the Savannah National Wildlife Refuge (SNWR) to quantify the propagation of tidal cycles between the main channel and the marshes. Two continuous recording flow-measuring instruments were placed, one in the upper portion of the Front River and the other near Fort Jackson. A series of water quality and salinity instruments were placed to collect data supplemented by boat surveys and data collection.

Technical Advisory Group

A series of technical meetings were held focusing on the computer modeling and field data collection efforts that were conducted to characterize the hydrodynamic, chemical, and biological aspects of the Savannah River estuary. This group was informally named the Technical Advisory Group (TAG). These meetings were attended by local, state, and federal agency representatives and were a source of information and advice about model development as well as a forum for communication amongst interested entities.

Natural Resources Group

Another informal group, dubbed the Natural Resources Group (NRG), was formed to discuss the application of the hydrodynamic model results to evaluate the potential biological impacts on the estuary. This group was instrumental in the selection of river flows for critical biological periods that were used in the H&S model simulations.

Calibration

The model was calibrated to the tides, flows, currents and salinity data that were collected. The details of the calibration and the data used are contained in a report titled: "Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Modeling of the Lower Savannah River Estuary" prepared by Applied Technology & Management (ATM). Because how vertical mixing was addressed becomes a key concern in 2003, a section of text from the July 1998 modeling report states:

"Due to the highly dynamic nature of the stratification/destratification processes within the Lower Savannah River Estuary, and the inability for standard turbulence formulations to capture them, a modified vertical turbulence formulation was developed.  A detailed discussion of this turbulence formulation is presented in Appendix B."

ATM personnel raised the issue to the Technical Review Group because it was recognized that the methodology utilized was not a standard method.  The standard methods available to ATM at that time were unable to capture the highly dynamic nature of the system relative to salinity, and, given the need for accuracy that was repeatedly stressed to our modelers, ATM chose to develop a more site-specific formulation for the Savannah Estuary.  The consensus at the time within the Technical Advisory Group was that while one would prefer that standard turbulence methods be used, the method seemed reasonable and appeared to work for this system.  The complete report may be reviewed here.

H&S Simulations

To evaluate the changes in salinity intrusion caused by a deeper channel, model simulation runs were conducted using the following conditions:

Detailed conclusions regarding the changes in salinity and dissolved oxygen resulting from a deeper channel are presented in the Tier I Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), Section 5.3.1 Salinity. In general, the simulations showed an increase in the upriver extent of the .5 ppt salinity concentration during tide cycles. (The value of .5 ppt salinity was used to characterize the salt/fresh water interface.) The Tier I EIS may be reviewed here.

DO Simulations

To evaluate the changes in DO concentration, the hydrodynamic output files from the H&S simulation runs were used as input forcing files for the WQMAP DO model simulations. A detailed discussion of the methodology and conclusions is contained in the Tier I EIS, Section 5.3.2 Dissolved Oxygen (DO). In general, the simulations predicted reduced mixing of the water column and a small decrease in the DO concentration for a deeper channel.

The model report for this effort can be accessed here.

Post Feasibility Study Modeling

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This  period runs from the submission of the final Feasibility Study Report and Tier I EIS in September 1998 and the initiation of the USACE General Reevaluation Study and Tier II EIS preparation that commenced with the execution of a Memorandum of Understanding between the USACE and the GPA in July 2001.

In his endorsement submitting the Feasibility Study Report, the Chief of Engineers included: "... refinement of the hydrodynamic model and concurrence by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the natural resource agencies in the model's ability to reasonably predict the impacts of the proposed project alternatives, including mitigation features."  The complete report may be reviewed here.

In addition, comments submitted in response to review of the draft Tier I EIS pointed out needs for additional refinement of the H&S and DO models.

January 1999
At the first Stakeholders Evaluation Group meeting in January 1999, GPA presented its recommendations for a DO field study to the SEG for consideration. This proposal was titled:

Additionally, the GPA proposed and the SEG concurred in the formation of a group of modeling experts to review the study proposal and provide recommendations to the SEG. That group was titled the Modeling Technical Review Group and included representatives from:

The first MTRG meeting was held Jan 28, 1999. The meeting report may be reviewed here.

February 1999
The MTRG reported to the SEG that it had agreed on the schedule and content of studies for dissolved oxygen, salinity and chlorides. They further reported they expected to present a study plan to the SEG by 1 May 1999. The MTRG recommended establishment of an Internet site for the posting of all documents to expedite their review and distribution and the dissemination of information. ATM established that site on Feb 1, 1999.  The Feb 5, 1999 MTRG meeting report can be reviewed here. The Feb 26, 1999 MTRG meeting report may be reviewed here.

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March 1999
The MTRG forwarded several recommendations to the SEG via email, including that the monitoring plan be further developed after the start of the field data collection, which was scheduled to occur in early April 1999. The email with the recommendations can be reviewed here.

April 1999
The SEG gave interim approval of the DO field data collection task in the April 1999 SEG meeting, subject to resolution of concerns with effects of dredging on data collection and collection of additional upstream and Back River data. The MTRG took up review of the model development task statements:

(SEG meeting report April 1999)

May 1999
The SEG reached consensus for full approval of the MTRG recommended task SEG 312 - Dissolved Oxygen Data Collection
(SEG meeting report for May 1999)


July 1999
In July 1999, the MTRG recommended:
  1. Time series of observed (measured) DO, TEMP, and SALINITY overlaid with vertical profiles for each location.
  2.  Isopleths of DO, salinity, water temperature, and density based on weekly vertical profiles similar to those prepared from the 1989 and 1990 EPD data.
  3.  Summary of the number of days measured DO was less than or equal to the following concentrations (2.0, 3.0, 4.0, and 5.0 mg/L), where days would equal the cumulative sum of the15-minute records for each moored instrument.
  4.  Similar summaries for temperature and salinity. For water temperature, the range of interest would be centered on the 90 deg. F state standard. The range of salinity values to be based on the sensitive life stages of striped bass and Shortnose sturgeon.
The MTRG status report may be reviewed here.  The SEG reached consensus on approval of the model development task statements based on the MTRG recommendation in the July 1999 meeting.The SEG meeting summary may be reviewed here. The task statements may be reviewed here:
Develop Dissolved Oxygen Model
Refine and Verify Hydrodynamic/Salinity Model
Develop Salinity/Chloride Correlation Model

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August 1999
Data collection commenced.

October 1999
The field data collection was completed by October 9, 1999. It had been extended over its initial scheduled completion due to the approach of a hurricane in September 1999.

November 1999
The MTRG met on November 18, 1999 and agreed upon a review process for model development based on the task statements SEGDO1 and SEGDO2.

The proposed roles and activities of the MTRG through the execution of the task statements were:
"The MTRG will meet on a regular basis and ATM will provide to the MTRG updates on the progress of the Model development. The MTRG will provide review and recommendations on the work completed based upon the progress reports and interim deliverables presented by ATM. The MTRG will be an active participant in the determination and development of the model coefficients, inputs, and comparison methodologies. This will be done through the review process. The goal will be to develop stepwise review and recommendations, such that upon completion of the model development, the MTRG is in agreement with the coefficients, inputs, and accuracy of the hydrodynamic, water quality, and chloride models. The submittal and approval, therefore, of the final model development reports should be complete by the end of this stepwise review process. This will eliminate the need for substantial alteration of the model upon completion and expedite the overall review process. Additionally, if representatives of the various stakeholders are required to develop their review opinions in the light of review by other technical experts, this will reduce the amount of non-technically based opinions, maximize the credibility of the model verification and allow all stakeholders to represent their positions through a qualified expert review process...."

The MTRG meeting report may be reviewed here.
December 1999
Due to the highly dynamic nature of the stratification/destratification processes within the Lower Savannah River Estuary, and the inability for standard turbulence formulations to capture them, a modified vertical turbulence formulation had been developed in 1997-1998. This unique turbulence parameterization was based on a log law fit of the vertical mixing coefficients to the tidal energy in the system. The methodology was presented in a paper in the Estuarine and Coastal Modeling Section of ASCE, a peer-reviewed journal (this is the Mendelsohn et al., 1999 reference). 

January 2000
The MTRG met on January 20, 2000 to:


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March 2000

The MTRG met on March 1, 2000 (MTRG status report of 3/1/00) to:

The MTRG met again on March 30, 2000 (MTRG status report of 3/30/2000) to:


June 2000

An MTRG meeting was held on Thursday, June 22, 2000 in Atlanta, GA at the EPA office (MTRG status report of 6/22/2000). The goals of the meeting were as follows:

The Federal agencies associated with the Savannah Harbor Expansion project prepared the first draft of the Federal Agencies Expectations and circulated it for internal review amongst the agencies.

August 2000
An MTRG meeting was held on Tuesday, August 29, 2000 (MTRG status report of 8/29/00) in Atlanta, GA at the EPA office. The goals of the meeting were as follows:

October 2000
An MTRG meeting was held on Thursday, October 5, 2000 (MTRG status report of 10/5/00) in Atlanta, GA at the EPA office. The goals of the meeting were as follows:

The final field data collection report, titled 1999 Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Monitoring Report was delivered to the MTRG.

November 2000
An MTRG meeting was held on Monday, November 13, 2000 (MTRG status report of 11/13/00) in Savannah, GA at the USACE offices. The goals of the meeting were as follows:

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January 2001
An MTRG meeting was held on Wednesday, January 17, 2001 in Atlanta, GA at the USEPA offices. The goals
of the meeting were as follows:

At that meeting, Jim Greenfield stated EPA intended to request the raw data presented in the 1999 Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Monitoring Report be made available in database or ASCII format. The MTRG status report may be reviewed here.  Attachment A is available here. Attachment B is available here. Attachment C is available here.

March 2001
The draft Hydrodynamic Model Calibration report was completed and circulated to MTRG members. The report may be reviewed here.

April 2001
An MTRG meeting was held on Tuesday, April 24, 2001(MTRG status report 4/24/01) in Atlanta, GA at the USEPA offices. The goals of the meeting were as follows:

May 2001
At the request of EPA, a multi-agency meeting of Federal agencies associated with the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project was held on 5/22/01 at the USFWS Wildlife Refuge office in Savannah. The agencies were represented by attendees from:

The purpose was to discuss concerns that had surfaced in regard to the H&S model. (See MFR). The discussion ranged over concerns for the performance of the model to interactions with GPA and ATM in the development of the model and direct access to the model. The agencies decided to prepare precise and explicit criteria (a.k.a. goalposts), which defined what the model must provide in order to be used to assess potential impacts. At this point, it became clear that the Federal Agencies and GPA had very different perspectives on what had been accomplished through the MTRG. (See memo.)

June 2001
At the request of the Georgia Ports Authority (GPA), the Savannah District called an interagency meeting of the Federal Agencies associated with the SHE project and the GPA, their agents, and their contractors to discuss the Federal Agency views in regard to the subject model. The meeting was held on Thursday, 28 June 2001 at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Region IV. (Interagency Modeling Meeting 6/28/01).  The agenda for that meeting was detailed and covered wide range of information that GPA needed to understand.

During the meeting, the draft federal expectations document was presented to GPA and briefly discussed. The federal agencies requested that the field data collected in 1997 and 1999 be provided in the EPA's Water Resources Database (WRDB) format.

Discussion of access to the model was also held. Because of intellectual property rights and licensing agreements between ATM and ASA, it was essential to understand whether the agencies wanted the ability to change the underlying algorithms and code or just a "runtime" version that would allow modification of the inputs and the ability to run the model. EPA, USACE, and USGS confirmed that their desire was for a runtime version.

In light of the formalizing of Federal agency interaction regarding the H&S and DO models, discussion was held about the effect this would have on the MTRG and the SEG. Another important aspect of discussion related to the Memorandum of Agreement, which was being developed between GPA and the USACE for execution of the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project. Since that was not finalized at this point, it was not clear who had which role and where authority lay for project decisions.

The USGS and EPA representatives agreed to introduce the newly determined federal agency participation in the calibration process and the finalized expectations document at the next MTRG meeting.

General Reevaluation Study Modeling

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This period covers the time from the execution of the Memorandum of Understanding between the USACE and the GPA in July 2001 to the present.

September 2001

The Savannah District called an interagency meeting (Minutes - Federal Agency Coordination Meeting 9/6/01) of the Federal Agencies associated with the SHE project and the GPA, their agents, and their contractors to discuss the Federal Agency views in regard to the subject model. The meeting was held on Thursday, 6 September 2001 at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Region IV. The main goal of the meeting was to provide for discussion of the draft expectations document that was received at the June 2001 meeting with the federal agencies. In addition, a review of the turnover of field data in WRDB format and model turnover were discussed. Agreement was reached that the expectations document contained goals for achievement, rather than pass/fail criteria.

October 2001
The 1997 and 1999 field data sets were provided to the Federal agencies in WRDB format.

November 2001
An MTRG meeting was held on Thursday, November 8, 2001(MTRG status report 11/8/01) in Atlanta, GA at the EPA offices. The goals of the meeting were as follows:

The Federal agencies involved in the Savannah Harbor Expansion H&S and DO model calibration discussed the Federal agency coordination process and the draft agency expectations document with the MTRG.

The Federal agencies involved in the Savannah Harbor Expansion H&S and DO model calibration, now titled: "Savannah Multi-Agency Review Team (SMART)", provided a document detailing the process for finalization of the Savannah Harbor H&S model and a revised Federal expectations document.

February 2002
A meeting of the Federal agencies involved in the Savannah Harbor Expansion H&S and DO model calibration met with GPA representatives on 2/28/02 in Atlanta.
(SMART meeting minutes 2/28/02)

March 2002
The MTRG met on Mar 1, 2002 at the EPA offices in Atlanta.. The goals of the meeting were:

The MTRG status report text may be reviewed here. Attachments A through D  to the report are available here.

The USACE, Savannah District provided the GPA with a memorandum detailing the federal agency requirements for the contents and distribution of the H&S model review package.

April 2002
An MTRG meeting was held on Tuesday, April 30, 2002 in Atlanta, GA at the EPA offices. The goals of the meeting were as follows:

The MTRG status report may be reviewed here. The attachment to the MTRG status report is available here.

A SMART meeting was held following completion of the MTRG meeting. (SMART meeting minutes 4/30/04)Discussion included:

An initial H&S model acceptance package was issued by ATM to the SMART members.

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May 2002
Based on the feedback on the initial H&S model acceptance package from the SMART members in the 4/30/04 SMART meeting, a revision to the package was submitted by ATM. Included in Revision 1 to the acceptance package were:


June 2002
An MTRG meeting was held on Thursday June 6, 2002 in Atlanta, GA at the EPA offices. The meeting included discussion of:

The MTRG status report may be reviewed here.

A SMART meeting was held following the MTRG meeting on June 6, 2002. (SMART meeting summary 6/6/02)  Discussion included:

EPA stated the model was sufficiently calibrated to proceed to D.O. modeling and would defer to the USFWS on utility of the model (salinity and water levels) to address impacts to the marshes. ATM agreed to provide a revised approval package that acknowledged the need for additional processing to provide usable input for evaluation of wetland impacts.

July 2002
A memorandum detailing the revised process for calibration and review for the H&S, DO, Cl, and Marsh Succession Models was provided by the SMART to the GPA. This established the sequence of events leading to the acceptance of the H&S model. Those events were:


August 2002
A final H&S model acceptance package was issued to the SMART members for review. This acceptance package was issued in lieu of a calibration report in an effort to reach a decision on the H&S model calibration so that work on the DO model could proceed. The plan was to provide a calibration report after the DO model calibration was accepted.

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September 2002

An MTRG meeting was held on Tuesday, September 18, 2002  in Atlanta, GA at the EPA offices. The meeting included discussion of:

The MTRG status report is available here.

Based on their review of the H&S model acceptance package, the federal agencies each accepted the model for use in the project and as a basis for further development and calibration of the DO model.
EPA letter
Department of Interior letter
Department of Commerce letter
USACE letter

November 2002
At the request of EPA, a meeting was held to discuss how to proceed with the final phase of the DO modeling effort "...so that the calibration will be accomplished in an efficient and appropriate time frame to the satisfaction of the Federal Agencies." A memorandum describing the agreements reached was provided to the Savannah District from the meeting participants.

December 2002
Dr. Johnson, USACE Engineering Research and Development Center (ERDC) offered recommendations for possible improvements based on the August 2002 acceptance package.

March 2003
ATM provided responses to Dr. Johnson's suggestions after investigating each. Their recommendations were that no modification be done to the calibration. Based on testing that showed only marginal improvement in some of the variants tested, there was not enough improvement overall to warrant additional work.

May 2003
A data characterization report dealing with the 1999 dataset was issued by ATM. The SMART met on May 16, 2003 to discuss DO model calibration, review the data characterization report and discuss the base case for the modeling. The meeting report is here.

July 2003
A complete draft DO model calibration report was issued by ATM to the SMART.

August 2003
The Savannah District provided comments received from the SMART members regarding the complete draft DO model calibration report. Questions raised about vertical mixing were responded to by ATM by way of explanation of their choice of vertical mixing methodology. (Memo dated 19Aug 03) This was the first discussion of the vertical mixing formulation chosen by ATM in 1998 since the MTRG discussions of the March 2001 Draft H&S model calibration report. Prior to this point, the focus of the modelers and reviewers had been exclusively on model performance - how well it met the expectations goals.

On 20 August 2003, a meeting of representatives from the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project and the Savannah Harbor Ecosystem Restoration Project met to discuss the review of the draft DO model calibration report. Feedback that was given was incorporated into the planning for production of the final calibration reports for both the H&S and DO models. (MFR dated 3 Sep 03).

September 2003
Additional comments were forwarded by the Savannah District that resulted from the Water Quality Joint Agency Meeting. This letter emphasized the need for the calibration reports on both models to address defensibility:

"Agencies are looking for calibration report that presents the defensibility of the model in all aspects (application, calibration, and prediction) for evaluation of the deepening impacts."

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December 2003
The Savannah District provided details of how the federal agencies would review and evaluate the calibration of the H&S and DO models.

January 2004
The final H&S and DO model calibration report was delivered to the federal agencies in hard copy and CD-ROM format. Included with the report was the latest version of the model for agency use.

March 2004
The SMART held a meeting on Mar 3, 2004 in response to
a request from GPA. The purpose was for SMART members to formulate a written request for clarification of any questions or concerns they had, so that they could be addressed formally by ATM. The federal agencies wanted to be able to discuss their opinions amongst themselves, so GPA was not present at the meeting.During the meeting objections were voiced about the defensibility of the models as predictive tools. The summary report of the meeting is available here

Based on the results of discussions between ATM and agency modelers after the meeting, it appeared that the conclusions were founded, in part, on misinterpretations of the contents of the calibration report.  A memorandum from ATM describing their understanding of the misunderstandings is available here.

GPA requested a meeting with the SMART members to discuss their conclusions with the ATM modelers present and able to respond to the feedback from the SMART members. That meeting was held on Mar 31, 2004. In preparation for the meeting, GPA requested each agency provide written comments regarding their concerns with the vertical mixing scheme only, since that was a key decision point for the agencies. If the vertical mixing methodology was not acceptable and the models were not predictive tools, they could not be used. ATM provided written responses to those concerns - see part 1 and part 2. The outcome of the meeting was that the SMART members judged that the models, as configured, were not defensible by their resepective agencies.


April 2004
On April 7, 2004, the regional heads of the lead and cooperating agencies met in an Executive Management Group session. At that meeting, GPA was presented with the official agency positions on the models calibration, which are listed below:

The Executive Management Group agreed to examine alternatives for the way forward in modeling and meet to discuss them in mid May 2004. The report of the April meeting is here.

A meeting of the Savannah Harbor Water Quality Working Group was held on April 22, 2004 to review the status of EPA's efforts to develop the Plan B DO model. (Note: This group was constituted by EPA to deal with TMDL setting and is not a part of the Savannah Harbor Expansion project.)  The Savannah District requested a letter from each agency expressing their position on the Plan B H&S model (EFDC) by the end of April. EPA's goals for the TMDL analysis and the setting of a D.O. Water Quality standard for the State of Georgia were discussed along with the Corps need to develop or select and apply models to identify expected impacts from the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project. It was agreed that EPA would take the lead on issues concerning TMDL development and technical development of the EFDC models while the Corps would take the lead on issues concerning the application of the models to evaluate harbor deepening. Grid resolution, boundary conditions, and loadings were also discussed. Details are available here.

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May 2004
On May 3, 2004, GPA hosted a meeting of SEG members interested in the status of model calibration for the project. The meeting was held in response to a request from the SEG. Meeting minutes were not formally kept, nor was a list of attendees generated. Attendees included SEG members, agency representatives, technical representatives (modelers) from agencies and ATM, along with project management representatives.  Two purposes were identified for the meeting:

  1. To help SEG members better understand the history of development of the models and the concerns of the reviewers about the models developed by ATM, and
  2. To hear the concerns of the SEG members and gather their feedback for the path forward.

After a review of the modeling effort for the Savannah Harbor Expansion project, much of the discussion centered on questions from the SEG members. Emerging from the discussion was the following feedback:

GPA promised to take the suggestions and discussion from the meeting to the federal agencies for consideration. In a letter to each of the Federal agencies represented in the EMG, GPA expressed their opinions and recommendations about the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project modeling.

On May 21, 2004, the Executive Management Group met at GPA headquarters. The purpose of the meeting was to decide the path forward regarding modeling. The federal agencies decided that further development of the Plan A models was not warranted since they judged them to not be defensible. The available resources were to be shifted to the development of the Plan B (EFDC and WASP) models. When the EFDC and WASP models were calibrated for use by the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project, their suitability would be judged based on the performance expectations established for the project during Plan A development. The meeting report for the meeting is available here. The decision memorandum is available here and the accompanying information paper here. The federal agencies generated a consolidated response to GPA's letter from May 11, 2004, which can be reviewed here.

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August 2004
Following the Executive Management Group meeting on May 21, 2004, the Savannah District and GPA reviewed what had transpired in the Plan A modeling efforts. This led to the identification of important considerations to be incorporated into the calibration of the EFDC and WASP models (Plan B) for use. Those considerations are available here.

May 2005
Refinement of the EFDC and WASP models was contracted by the USACE, Savannah District to Tetra Tech, Inc. The status of their work can be viewed here. Future information will be posted to the model information page located here.